Posted Today
Energy Forecasting & Planning Systems Specialist
AI Summary
Develops electricity demand forecasts and analytical models to guide network investment and capacity planning for Aurora Energy in Otago and Central Otago.
About this role
Understand what drives electricity demand. Shape the decisions that follow.
Own forecasting methods, data and systems that guide network investment
Dunedin preferred; Christchurch or Cromwell also available
Competitive package based on experience
A cold snap during the school holidays. More electric vehicles charging overnight. Solar changing how households use the network.
Behind every demand forecast are people, patterns and assumptions. Aurora Energy is looking for someone who can connect them, test their significance and build forecasts the business can confidently act on.
You do not need to be an electrical engineer. You do need the analytical depth and judgement to develop methods, explain uncertainty and take ownership of your work.
Your opportunity
In this newly created role, reporting to the Network Planning Manager, you will own the forecasting capability that supports Aurora’s electricity network across Otago and Central Otago. That includes the Queenstown and Southern Lakes area, one of the fastest-growing parts of New Zealand, and where major investment decisions turn directly on the quality of the forecast.
Your work will help determine where capacity is running short, when investment is needed and how the network can respond to changing demand.
You will:
Develop demand forecasts using customer behaviour, smart meter data, weather and external trends
Test scenarios and sensitivities, making forecast ranges, assumptions and uncertainty clear
Build and improve data pipelines, analytical models and automated forecasting processes
Keep methods and datasets documented, traceable, version-controlled and repeatable
Connect planning and operational models to support capacity assessments and scenario testing
Translate findings into clear advice for planners, operations, investment decisions and regulatory reporting
This is an opportunity to shape a developing capability, defining the methods and owning them, with responsibility for both the quality of the analysis and how it is used.
What you bring
You will have substantial experience developing forecasting methods, analytical models or planning systems that inform significant decisions. You will be comfortable choosing an approach, defending it and helping others understand its implications.
Your background could be in data science, statistics, applied mathematics, engineering or another closely related discipline. Experience in infrastructure or energy is valuable, but forecasting expertise gained in other sectors is also welcome.
You’ll demonstrate:
Strong forecasting capability across different time horizons, including sensitivity analysis and confidence ranges
Experience integrating large, varied datasets and maintaining clear data quality and governance
Hands-on coding and database skills, using tools such as Python and SQL
The ability to automate processes and explain complex findings to non-specialists
Experience with cloud-based data, FME, load flow and modelling tools, Power BI and smart meter or telemetry data would be useful. Electricity-sector knowledge can be developed with support from Aurora’s planners.
The team around you
You will join curious professionals who enjoy questioning assumptions and working through novel problems without an obvious answer.
Our Network Planning Manager gives people genuine ownership and expects them to defend their reasoning and work collaboratively to develop and test ideas. You will be expected to think deeply, follow the consequences through the wider system, weigh risk and effort trade-offs, and build the evidence behind your decisions and methods. You will have support when you need it, and your thinking will be tested constructively.
This will suit someone who enjoys building lasting capability, can make progress with imperfect information and takes responsibility for how their analysis affects decisions beyond their own desk.
Interested?
If you want to own the forecast, understand the behaviour behind it and see your work influence essential infrastructure, we would love to hear from you. There are so many great reasons to join Aurora Energy, such as:
Influence major long-term decisions
Work with complex, high-value, and critical data
Help enable New Zealand’s energy transition
Join a collaborative team where you are invited to innovate, challenge and improve how we work
Benefits & Lifestyle
Competitive remuneration package
Flexible, supportive, safety-first culture
Genuine work-life balance with flexible hours
Interesting work where no two days will be the same!
We offer relocation support to the successful candidate!
If you’re keen to know more, get in touch with Steph Richardson at Paragon on 021 202 2809, or apply today!
With thanks to Dunedin, NZ for the beautiful images
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